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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192018
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
900 AM MDT Wed Sep 19 2018

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO SPREAD FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR INTO
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 110.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NE OF LORETO MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 26.3 North, longitude 110.9
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20
km/h) and this motion is expected to become more north-northeast
tonight with a similar forward motion until the system dissipates on
Thursday.  On the forecast track the depression is forecast to move
inland over northwestern Mexico this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant strengthening is expected before the system moves
inland over mainland northwestern Mexico, then steady weakening is
forecast.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Nineteen-E is expected to produce
total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated
maximum amounts of 15 inches across portions of Baja California Sur,
Sinaloa, and Sonora through Thursday. This rainfall could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Moisture from this
disturbance will also lead to areas of heavy rainfall and a risk of
flash flooding in the southwestern United States beginning today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth/Blake

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