ZCZC HFOTCMCP5 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP172018
2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI... 
LANAI... AND KAHOOLAWE
* HAWAII COUNTY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ON KAUAI AND NIIHAU SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF OLIVIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 148.7W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 110SE 140SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 148.7W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 148.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.5N 150.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.3N 152.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 154.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.6N 156.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.1N 161.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 20.3N 167.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 21.4N 172.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 148.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
 
 
NNNN