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HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142018
1500 UTC MON AUG 20 2018
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 150W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 150W 34 91 3(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
15N 150W 50 16 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
15N 150W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BUOY 51004 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 5(18) 2(20) X(20)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
15N 155W 34 X 2( 2) 42(44) 47(91) 5(96) X(96) X(96)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 54(59) 16(75) 1(76) X(76)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 17(51) X(51) X(51)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) X(11)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 1(14)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 42(51) 9(60) 1(61)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) 1(23)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 23(28) 14(42) 1(43)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 3(21)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 17(33) 3(36)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 11(41)
21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11)
21N 158W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 18(38)
BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
BARKING SANDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 3(23)
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) 6(33)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 7(30)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 60(66) 19(85) 1(86)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 24(53) X(53)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 17(29) 1(30)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18)
JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 16(33)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
LIHUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 9(23) 1(24)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 14(55)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 10(21)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 17(33)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 18(45)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 11(48)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
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