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HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018
0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 140W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 140W 34 X 7( 7) 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
10N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 67(73) 10(83) 1(84) X(84)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 11(45) X(45) X(45)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23)
10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 55(56) 23(79) 1(80)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 26(47) 1(48)
15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 19(29) X(29)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 7(33)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 31(52)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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