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TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132018
0900 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 125W       34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)

15N 130W       34  X   3( 3)  52(55)  20(75)   7(82)   1(83)   X(83)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)  21(21)  18(39)   7(46)   X(46)   1(47)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  19(22)  16(38)   4(42)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)

25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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