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BULLETIN
Hurricane John Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122018
900 PM MDT Wed Aug 08 2018

...JOHN WEAKENING...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 114.4W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula
should monitor the progress of John due to locally heavy rainfall.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane John was located
near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 114.4 West.  John is moving
toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward the
west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected over
the next few days.  On the forecast track, the center of John will
pass well to the southwest and west of Baja California Sur through
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast, and John is
expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday, and to degenerate
into a remnant low Friday night or Saturday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  John is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 2 inches over far southern Baja California Sur, with isolated
maximum amounts of 3 inches through Thursday.

SURF:  Swells generated by John are affecting portions of the
coasts of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula and will spread northward along the west coast
of the Baja California peninsula during the next couple of days.
The swells are forecast to reach the coast of southern California
by late Thursday.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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