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Hurricane Hector Special Discussion Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102018
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 05 2018

This special advisory is to update the initial and forecast
intensities for Hector.  Satellite data indicate that the hurricane
has continued to strengthen during the past 6 h, and the initial
intensity has increased to at least 120 kt.  Based on this, the
intensities for the first 36 h of the forecast have been increased.
There are no changes to the forecast track, the wind radii, or the
intensities from 48-120 h.

The NOAA G-IV aircraft is releasing dropsondes as it circumnavigates
Hector during its flight to Hawaii to support forecast operations
over the next few days.  Data from these dropsondes should be
incorporated into this evening's 0000 UTC dynamical models.

While the official forecast track continues to lie south of the
Hawaiian Islands, only a slight deviation to the north of the
forecast track would significantly increase potential impacts on
the Hawaiian Islands. It is a good time for everyone in the Hawaiian
Islands to ensure they have their hurricane plan in place.  For
additional information on any potential local impacts from Hector in
Hawaii, please refer to products issued by the NWS Weather Forecast
Office in Honolulu at: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/0000Z 14.5N 138.6W  120 KT 140 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 14.7N 139.8W  120 KT 140 MPH
 24H  06/1800Z 15.3N 142.4W  115 KT 130 MPH
 36H  07/0600Z 15.9N 145.3W  105 KT 120 MPH
 48H  07/1800Z 16.4N 148.4W   95 KT 110 MPH
 72H  08/1800Z 16.7N 154.5W   90 KT 105 MPH
 96H  09/1800Z 17.0N 160.3W   85 KT 100 MPH
120H  10/1800Z 17.7N 166.0W   80 KT  90 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

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