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Tropical Depression EMILIA


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Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062018
200 AM PDT Sun Jul 01 2018

Emilia continues to produce a disorganized cluster of convection to
the southwest of the center, and so it remains a tropical cyclone
for another advisory cycle.  Satellite intensity estimates and
surface wind data from the Windsat satellite show that the initial
intensity is near 25 kt.  The convection is expected to dissipate
later today, with Emilia becoming a remnant low when that occurs.
Final dissipation of the remnants are expected after 72 h.

The initial motion remains 295/10.  Emilia and its remnants should
continue generally west-northwestward for a couple of days before
turning more westward in the low-level flow prior to dissipation.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  01/0900Z 18.9N 122.1W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  01/1800Z 19.4N 123.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  02/0600Z 20.1N 126.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  02/1800Z 20.8N 128.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  03/0600Z 21.3N 130.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  04/0600Z 21.5N 135.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  05/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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