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Tropical Storm Carlotta Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

...CARLOTTA STRENGTHENS AND MOVING FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR ACAPULCO LATER TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 99.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 99.5 West.  Carlotta is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue overnight.  On the forecast track,
Carlotta is expected to move inland within the warning area later
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts.  No significant change in strength is expected before
landfall.  The small cyclone is forecast to quickly dissipate over
the high terrain of Mexico on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca coasts, including the
city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches
possible.  These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.
Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, rainfall amounts
of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring in the
warning area, and these conditions are expected to continue through
Sunday morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Blake

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