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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

...CARLOTTA MOVING CLOSER TO MEXICO, DROPPING TORRENTIAL RAINS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 99.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the coast of Mexico from Tecpan de Galeana to west of
Acapulco.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 99.3 West. Carlotta is
moving toward the northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). On the forecast
track, the center of Carlotta is expected to make landfall early on
Saturday within the warning area and dissipate that evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant change in wind speed is likely before landfall early
Saturday.  The small cyclone is forecast to quickly dissipate late
Saturday over the high terrain of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and Oaxaca coasts, including the city of
Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These
rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.  Farther inland
across the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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