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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042018
0900 UTC SUN JUN 17 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING EAST OF TEPAC DE GALEANA AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 100.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 100.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 100.4W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.4N 101.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.9N 101.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.5N 102.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 100.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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