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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
1200 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...CORE OF HURRICANE BUD CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...
...RAINBANDS LINGERING NEAR THE COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 107.2W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near
latitude 16.9 North, longitude 107.2 West.  Bud is moving toward the
northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight with a decrease in forward speed.  A turn
toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday, and this general
motion should continue into mid-week.  On the forecast track, the
core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected to move away from
the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some additional strengthening is possible
later today, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin
on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning this afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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