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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
900 AM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...HURRICANE BUD GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF MAINLAND MEXICO...
...RAINBANDS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS REMAIN NEAR THE COAST...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 106.8W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located
near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 106.8 West. Bud is moving
toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue today and tonight with a decrease in forward
speed.  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday,
and this general motion should continue into mid-week. On the
forecast track, the core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected
to remain well offshore of the southwestern coast of mainland
Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some additional strengthening
is possible today, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin
on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning this afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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