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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
300 AM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...BUD LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN SOME MORE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 106.1W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Bud was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 106.1 West.  Bud is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue today and tonight with a decrease in
forward speed.  A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on
Tuesday and slow north-northwest motion should continue into
mid-week.  On the forecast track, the core of Bud and its
stronger winds are expected to remain offshore of the southwestern
coast of mainland Mexico during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast today, and Bud could become a
major hurricane later today.  A slow weakening trend is expected to
begin by early Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning this afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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