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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

...ANOTHER HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...
...RAPID STRENGTHENING APPEARS UNDERWAY...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 104.2W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
southwestern coast of Mexico from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes. A
Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
through 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Bud was located
near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 104.2 West. Bud is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with
a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday.
This track will keep the core of Bud and its stronger winds well
off the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Bud could strengthen rapidly during the next 24 hours or so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 145 miles
(230 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of
3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches into
Tuesday afternoon. These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides in higher terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will affect portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next 2 to 3 days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning Monday afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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