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TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032018
2100 UTC THU JUN 14 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR A
PORTION OF EASTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ NORTHWARD TO
SAN EVARISTO... AND ALSO FOR WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA
NORTHWARD TO HUATABAMPITO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... MEXICO... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO... MEXICO
* ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO... MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR... AND WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ACROSS WESTERN MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 109.8W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 109.8W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 109.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.5N 110.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.6N 110.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 28.0N 110.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.3N 109.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 109.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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