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HURRICANE WALAKA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012018
1500 UTC MON OCT 01 2018
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WALAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
30N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
35N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 4(29) X(29)
NECKER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NECKER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 10(45) X(45)
25N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15)
25N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
30N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 16(51)
30N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18)
30N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
35N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17)
35N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
35N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 59(59) 4(63) X(63)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 2(29) X(29)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 75(75) 8(83) X(83)
GARDNER PINN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 9(51) X(51)
GARDNER PINN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 7(30) X(30)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 1 13(14) 65(79) 8(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) 29(29) 15(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
15N 170W 34 28 70(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 170W 50 1 67(68) 16(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
15N 170W 64 X 28(28) 26(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 68(71) 23(94) X(94) X(94)
20N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) 29(29) 46(75) X(75) X(75)
20N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 39(50) X(50) X(50)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 5(42) X(42)
25N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) 1(13)
25N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
30N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 4(27)
30N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
30N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
35N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 5(27) 1(28)
MARO REEF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
MARO REEF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
NNNN
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