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HURRICANE WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
0900 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH
FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 170.0W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  921 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 300SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 170.0W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 169.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 170.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.3N 170.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 169.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.5N 168.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.8N 167.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.5N 164.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 40.2N 157.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 170.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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