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HURRICANE WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
1500 UTC MON OCT 01 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE
ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS... 
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WALAKA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 168.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  40SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  65SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..235NE 155SE 165SW 235NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 168.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 167.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.1N 169.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  85SE  70SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.5N 170.4W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.4N 170.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 170.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N 167.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 29.5N 167.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N 164.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 168.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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