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HURRICANE WALAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012018
0900 UTC MON OCT 01 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JOHNSTON ATOLL
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE
ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS... 
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WALAKA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 167.5W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 120SE 120SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 167.5W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 167.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.5N 168.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  65SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.5N 169.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 170.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 65NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE  95SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.2N 170.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.3N 168.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 125SE  95SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 28.5N 167.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 31.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 167.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA
 
 
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