ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018
0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 23(23) 14(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 32(32) 38(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HYANNIS MA 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NANTUCKET MA 34 2 21(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MONTAUK POINT 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 53 X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 85 X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
RICHMOND VA 34 68 X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ROCKY MT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: