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HURRICANE MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018
0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 16(34) X(34) X(34)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 21(21) 16(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 23(23) 19(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
NORFOLK VA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 23(23) 22(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 46(46) 17(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 57(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FLORENCE SC 34 3 57(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
COLUMBIA SC 34 38 5(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
AUGUSTA GA 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
AUGUSTA GA 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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