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Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

...LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 18.5W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West.  Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h).  A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of
Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of
the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of
Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today.  Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).  Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of
39 mph (63 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late today through early Sunday.  Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL:  Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF:  Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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