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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number  67
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

...LESLIE DASHING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 20.7W
ABOUT 690 MI...1125 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM NW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 20.7 West.  Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h).  A fast
motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through
Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island overnight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move
inland over portions of Portugal and Spain late Saturday and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday.  Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula Saturday night, and
the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late Saturday through early Sunday.  Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL:  Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF:  Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco on Saturday, continuing into Sunday.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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