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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number  65
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

...HURRICANE LESLIE CONTINUES RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...COULD BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 28.0W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM S OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast
east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Saturday
morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the southwestern
portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday, and move inland over
portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night or early Sunday. Additional weakening is
forecast on Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday
after it moves inland.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain on Sunday. Please see products from your local
meteorological service for more information on this hazard.

RAINFALL:  Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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