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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kirk Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122018
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 28 2018

...KIRK WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...ASSOCIATED WEATHER STILL AFFECTING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 63.6W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of St. Lucia has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for St. Lucia, and the Meteorological Service
of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for St.
Vincent and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was
located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 63.6 West. Kirk is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Sunday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Kirk or its remnants will move across the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea over the next day or two.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph
(75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Kirk is forecast to weaken to a
tropical depression tonight, and then degenerate into a trough of
low pressure on Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
mainly to the east of the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Squalls with wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible
over the Windward Islands and the southern Leeward Islands today.

RAINFALL:  Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6
inches across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands
with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and
Dominica.  These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.  Across Saint Croix and eastern Puerto Rico, Kirk is
expected to bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6
inches today and Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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