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TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018
0300 UTC THU SEP 13 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) 1(11)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT CROIX 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 4 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BARBUDA 34 7 9(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ANTIGUA 34 11 19(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
GUADELOUPE 34 31 40(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
GUADELOUPE 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AVES 34 1 37(38) 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
AVES 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOMINICA 34 12 23(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
DOMINICA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARTINIQUE 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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