Tropical Storm ISAAC

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092018               
2100 UTC WED SEP 12 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   1(18)   X(18)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   2( 2)  18(20)   2(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  1  17(18)  14(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BARBUDA        34  2  17(19)   3(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
ANTIGUA        34  2  31(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
ANTIGUA        50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  3  67(70)   5(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
GUADELOUPE     50  X  23(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
AVES           34  X   8( 8)  48(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
AVES           50  X   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
DOMINICA       34  2  49(51)   4(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
DOMINICA       50  X  14(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
DOMINICA       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  1  15(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
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