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TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20)
AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13)
DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35)
MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21)
SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28)
BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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