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TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072018
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE
OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
* CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
* OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  81.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  81.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  80.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N  83.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.1N  86.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.9N  88.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.3N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.9N  93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 34.8N  94.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 37.6N  95.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  81.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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