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HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 58
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
2100 UTC THU SEP 13 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 2( 6)
WASHINGTON DC 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 2( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 2(10)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11)
WALLOPS CDA 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16)
RICHMOND VA 34 4 12(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
DANVILLE VA 34 5 30(35) 6(41) 2(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45)
DANVILLE VA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 7 14(21) 4(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) 1(28)
NORFOLK VA 34 8 15(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) 1(30)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 8 16(24) 4(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 36 15(51) 3(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 4 36(40) 8(48) 2(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 26 43(69) 4(73) 2(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
RALEIGH NC 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
RALEIGH NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ROCKY MT NC 34 61 18(79) 2(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
ROCKY MT NC 50 2 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ROCKY MT NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 13 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 70 25(95) 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 4 51(55) 7(62) X(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 21(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 31(34) 11(45) 5(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 87 4(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
CHERRY PT NC 64 32 7(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 64 65 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 98 X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 78 1(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 50 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 64 67 17(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 92 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 64 44 31(75) 5(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 90 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 48 34(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
FLORENCE SC 34 17 61(78) 13(91) 2(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
FLORENCE SC 50 1 29(30) 18(48) 4(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54)
FLORENCE SC 64 X 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
COLUMBIA SC 34 3 32(35) 16(51) 8(59) 6(65) X(65) X(65)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
LITTLE RIVER 34 87 12(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 22 64(86) 4(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
LITTLE RIVER 64 1 50(51) 9(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 76 21(97) 1(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 12 61(73) 8(81) 2(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 32(33) 17(50) 3(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 24 55(79) 10(89) 2(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 29(30) 23(53) 4(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 5( 5) 12(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 38(42) 21(63) 6(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71)
CHARLESTON SC 50 1 4( 5) 10(15) 7(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 14(17) 15(32) 8(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 10(12) 10(22) 6(28) 7(35) X(35) X(35)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 7( 9) 10(19) 5(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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