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HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
2100 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18) X(18)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) X(17)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 9(22) X(22)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) 2(26)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) X(21)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 6(28) 1(29)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 11(34) 2(36)
PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 11(35) 2(37)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 14(42) 2(44)
CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
CHARLOTTESVIL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 34(40) 13(53) 2(55)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14)
RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 44(51) 16(67) 4(71)
DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 11(25) 1(26)
DANVILLE VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 39(49) 11(60) 2(62)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) 1(18)
NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 40(50) 11(61) 2(63)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 1(19)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 39(50) 11(61) 2(63)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) X(19)
OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 42(64) 10(74) 2(76)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 7(31) 1(32)
ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 45(51) 16(67) 4(71)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 10(24) 2(26)
GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 56(69) 15(84) 2(86)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 12(48) 2(50)
RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) X(23)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 53(74) 13(87) 2(89)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 39(43) 11(54) 2(56)
ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 7(28) 1(29)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 26(26) 54(80) 12(92) 2(94) X(94)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 23(51) 4(55) 1(56)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 4(25) X(25)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 55(79) 10(89) 2(91)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 46(50) 13(63) 2(65)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 9(36) 1(37)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 34(39) 15(54) 4(58)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 2(15)
CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 66(72) 22(94) 3(97) 1(98)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 45(72) 7(79) 1(80)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 39(47) 8(55) 1(56)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 29(29) 62(91) 8(99) X(99) 1(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 56(57) 27(84) 3(87) X(87)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 35(60) 4(64) 1(65)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 26(26) 64(90) 9(99) X(99) 1(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 55(56) 30(86) 3(89) 1(90)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) 39(62) 6(68) 1(69)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 66(72) 23(95) 2(97) 1(98)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 48(78) 7(85) 1(86)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 45(56) 8(64) 1(65)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 60(65) 29(94) 2(96) X(96)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 50(74) 7(81) 1(82)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 44(52) 8(60) 1(61)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 16(16) 67(83) 13(96) 1(97) X(97)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 40(41) 37(78) 3(81) 1(82)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 36(52) 6(58) 1(59)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 49(63) 12(75) 2(77)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 10(36) 2(38)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) 2(19)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 12(50) 3(53)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 2(14)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 41(45) 40(85) 4(89) 1(90)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 43(52) 8(60) 2(62)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 7(34) 1(35)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 52(58) 29(87) 3(90) X(90)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 36(48) 7(55) 1(56)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 6(30) 1(31)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 41(65) 8(73) 2(75)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 7(33) 2(35)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) 2(17)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 34(43) 11(54) 1(55)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) 3(17)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 19(24) 10(34) 3(37)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 10(28) 4(32)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 8(24) 4(28)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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