ZCZC NFDTCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Florence Advisory Number 72 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062018 500 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018 ...FLORENCE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS OVER PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO WESTERN VIRGINIA. FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.9N 82.2W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WSW OF ROANOKE VIRGINIA ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM WNW OF GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Flash flood warnings are currently in effect across a large portion of southern and western North Carolina, portions of far northeast South Carolina and southwest Virginia. Flash flood watches are in effect across much of North Carolina, northern South Carolina, portions of Western Virginia, southern and eastern West Virginia, central and western Maryland, central and western Pennsylvania, southern New York and southern New England. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Florence was located near latitude 36.9 North, longitude 82.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected to become northeasterly today before accelerating and becoming more easterly on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected today before re-intensifying as it transitions to an extratropical cyclone Tuesday and Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive rainfall over the next couple of days. Portions of the Mid Atlantic states west of Interstate 95 into southeern New York and southern New England are expected to receive an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain...with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes remain possible from northeast South Carolina and eastern/central North Carolina into parts of Virginia, western Maryland, and southern Pennsylvania through today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Hurley/Bann FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/0900Z 36.9N 82.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 17/1800Z 38.5N 81.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 18/0600Z 39.9N 79.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 18/1800Z 41.1N 74.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/0600Z 41.5N 67.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/0600Z 41.3N 56.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 21/0600Z 41.0N 44.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 22/0600Z 44.1N 34.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP NNNN
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