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Potential Tropical Cyclone SIX


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BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062018
1100 PM AST Thu Aug 30 2018

...DISTURBANCE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 20.9W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Santiago
* Fogo
* Brava

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case, within the
next 24 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 13.2 North, longitude 20.9 West.  The system is moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a general motion toward
the west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected
during the next 2 to 3 days.  On the forecast track, the disturbance
or the tropical cyclone is expected to move near or over the
southern Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast, and the disturbance is expected to become
a tropical storm Friday or Friday night.

Environmental conditions are favorable for the system to become a
tropical cyclone on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The system could produce total rain accumulations of 4 to
8 inches across the southern Cabo Verde Islands. These rains could
produce life-threatening flash floods.

WINDS: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the southern Cabo
Verde Islands on Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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