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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  67
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  80.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  80.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  80.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.3N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.8N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 37.8N  83.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 39.2N  81.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.5N  71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 43.0N  59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 45.5N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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