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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  66
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
2100 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF SURF
CITY...NORTH CAROLINA.  ALL STORM SURGE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.9W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.9W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 33.9N  80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.1N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 37.0N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.8N  82.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 41.4N  74.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 43.3N  60.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 47.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  79.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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