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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  55.8W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  40SE  30SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  55.8W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.6N  56.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.8N  58.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.3N  60.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.1N  63.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.2N  69.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.3N  74.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 34.4N  77.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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