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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0300 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  49.8W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  49.8W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  49.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.2N  50.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.2N  52.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.2N  53.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.3N  54.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.1N  57.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.6N  62.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  49.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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