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TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018
2100 UTC SUN JUL 08 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 21(30)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 16(26)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 8(24)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 14(30)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 11(38)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 5(24)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 2(26)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 1(19)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) X(22)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 1( 2) 7( 9) 16(25) 13(38) 1(39) X(39)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
NEW RIVER NC 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 15(25) 9(34) X(34) X(34)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 14(23) 7(30) X(30) X(30)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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