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Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
200 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018

...DISORGANIZED BERYL MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...
...EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE BY THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 59.2W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ESE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...42 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominica
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress
of Beryl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the poorly defined center of Tropical
Storm Beryl was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 59.2
West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 26 mph (42
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Beryl or
its remnants will approach the Lesser Antilles this evening, cross
the island chain overnight, and move near or south of the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is anticipated during the next 24 hours, and Beryl
is forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure by this
evening as it moves across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern
Caribbean Sea.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
mainly to the north and northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in Dominica and
Guadeloupe tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possible
in the watch areas of the Lesser Antilles by later today or Monday.
Strong gusty winds are also possible in the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico on Monday.

RAINFALL:  Beryl is expected to produce storm total rain
accumulations of 2 to 3 inches through Tuesday across the Leeward
and the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico.  Local amounts up
to 5 inches are possible.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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