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HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
0900 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BARBADOS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BERYL... AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
OTHER
ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  49.8W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  49.8W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  49.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.7N  51.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.6N  54.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.7N  57.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.8N  61.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.2N  70.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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