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HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
0900 UTC FRI JUL 06 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BERYL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  45.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  45.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  44.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 11.0N  46.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 11.7N  48.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.7N  51.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.6N  54.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.4N  61.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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