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SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018
2100 UTC MON MAY 28 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS EAST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* AUCILLA RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* AUCILLA RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  85.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  85.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  85.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N  86.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.3N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.0N  87.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 40.1N  86.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 46.2N  82.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  85.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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