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HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
NORMA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR
SATURDAY FOR A PART OF THE PENINSULA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 110.2W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 105SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 110.2W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.3N 110.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 110.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.7N 112.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.6N 112.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.5N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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