ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Storm Max Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 The center of Max has continued to move inland over southern Mexico since the previous advisory. The satellite and radar presentation has degraded significantly during the past few hours and the initial intensity has been lowered to 40 kt for this advisory. Rapid weakening is expected overnight while Max moves farther inland, and the small tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate over the high terrain of southern Mexico early Friday. The initial motion estimate is 085/6 kt. Max is being steered eastward around the north side of a mid-level ridge that extends southwestward from Central America. The cyclone should continue moving on this general heading and speed until dissipation occurs on Friday. The primary threat from Max is heavy rainfall and flooding over portions of southern Mexico. Rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts of 20 inches, are expected over the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, and life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0300Z 16.8N 98.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 15/1200Z 16.8N 97.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN
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