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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 125.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 125.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 125.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 125.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.9N 126.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.3N 126.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.8N 126.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 126.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 125.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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