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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 7(23) 1(24)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 10(11) 37(48) 16(64) 5(69) X(69) X(69)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 10(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 7( 8) 34(42) 19(61) 6(67) X(67) X(67)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 27(43) 17(60) 1(61) X(61)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) X(18) 1(19)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 26(35) 2(37) 1(38)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 1(16)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 11(21) 1(22) 1(23)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) X(13) 1(14)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 110W 34 13 10(23) 4(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
20N 110W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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