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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...SOUTH OF LORETO...AND SOUTH OF
GUAYMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO
ISLA SAN LUIS
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LIDIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 113.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 113.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 113.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.3N 114.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.6N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.8N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 31.9N 120.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.1N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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