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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO COVER THE AREA FROM PUNTA
ABREOJOS TO MULEGE.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA...FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES...AND FOR THE MEXICAN MAINLAND NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO
PUERTO LIBERTAD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO EAST OF LA PAZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS TO MULEGE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 109.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 109.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 109.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.3N 110.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N 111.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.1N 112.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.6N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 30.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.5N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 109.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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