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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTH OF PUERTO CORTES TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO... NORTH OF SAN
EVARISTO TO LORETO... AND NORTH OF HUATABAMPITO TO GUAYMAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS... NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA... 
AND
NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO EAST OF LA PAZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO LORETO
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO GUAYMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA
ABREOJOS
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
* MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 109.4W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 109.4W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.3N 109.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.6N 110.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.1N 111.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.7N 112.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.2N 115.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 30.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 30.5N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 109.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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